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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Sat 8 Mar 2025

12:30

Venue

The Coventry Building Society Arena

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Coventry Win

55%

Coventry

1.82

25%

Draw

3.98

20%

Stoke City

5.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

2 – 0

10.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.71

Coventry xG

Total xG

2.64

0.93

Stoke City xG

55%
25%
20%
CoventryDrawStoke City

1.82

55%

Home win

3.98

25%

Draw

5.04

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

39%

Coventry

2.54

18%

Stoke City

5.52

Win to Nil

22%

Coventry

4.62

4%

Stoke City

27.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 6.6 3.1 1.0 0.2
1 12.2 11.4 5.3 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.4 9.7 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 5.9 5.5 2.6 0.8 0.2
4 2.5 2.4 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.709
λ Away (xG) 0.934
Total xG 2.643
League avg home goals 1.336
League avg away goals 1.037
Coventry attack strength 1.086
Coventry defence strength 1.008
Stoke City attack strength 0.893
Stoke City defence strength 1.178
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 81 / 81