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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 46

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

12:30

Venue

The Coventry Building Society Arena

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Coventry Win

50%

Coventry

2.02

25%

Draw

4.02

26%

Middlesbrough

3.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

Coventry xG

Total xG

2.69

1.08

Middlesbrough xG

50%
25%
26%
CoventryDrawMiddlesbrough

2.02

50%

Home win

4.02

25%

Draw

3.92

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

34%

Coventry

2.94

20%

Middlesbrough

4.98

Win to Nil

17%

Coventry

5.93

5%

Middlesbrough

19.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 7.4 4.0 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 11.0 11.8 6.4 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.8 9.5 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 4.7 5.1 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.9 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.606
λ Away (xG) 1.079
Total xG 2.685
League avg home goals 1.302
League avg away goals 1.004
Coventry attack strength 1.185
Coventry defence strength 0.941
Middlesbrough attack strength 1.143
Middlesbrough defence strength 1.041
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 91 / 91