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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

12:30

Venue

Coventry Building Society Arena

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Coventry Win

66%

Coventry

1.51

21%

Draw

4.85

13%

Birmingham

7.73

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.1%

Home win

1 – 1

9.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.95

Coventry xG

Total xG

2.67

0.72

Birmingham xG

66%
21%
13%
CoventryDrawBirmingham

1.51

66%

Home win

4.85

21%

Draw

7.73

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.27

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

49%

Coventry

2.06

14%

Birmingham

7.04

Win to Nil

32%

Coventry

3.10

2%

Birmingham

54.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 5.0 1.8 0.4 0.1
1 13.5 9.7 3.5 0.8 0.2
2 13.1 9.5 3.4 0.8 0.1
3 8.6 6.2 2.2 0.5 0.1
4 4.2 3.0 1.1 0.3
5 1.6 1.2 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.952
λ Away (xG) 0.722
Total xG 2.674
League avg home goals 1.229
League avg away goals 1.193
Coventry attack strength 1.370
Coventry defence strength 0.818
Birmingham attack strength 0.739
Birmingham defence strength 1.159
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 6