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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sat 1 Nov 2025

15:00

Venue

The Valley

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Charlton Win

40%

Charlton

2.48

32%

Draw

3.16

28%

Swansea

3.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.0%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

15.1%

Draw

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.06

Charlton xG

Total xG

1.89

0.83

Swansea xG

40%
32%
28%
CharltonDrawSwansea

2.48

40%

Home win

3.16

32%

Draw

3.57

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

56%

Over 1.5

1.79

44%

Under 1.5

2.27

29%

Over 2.5

3.45

71%

Under 2.5

1.41

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.72

63%

BTTS No

1.58

Clean Sheet

44%

Charlton

2.29

35%

Swansea

2.88

Win to Nil

18%

Charlton

5.69

10%

Swansea

10.28

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.1 12.6 5.2 1.4 0.3
1 16.0 13.3 5.5 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 8.5 7.0 2.9 0.8 0.2
3 3.0 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.059
λ Away (xG) 0.830
Total xG 1.889
League avg home goals 1.178
League avg away goals 1.123
Charlton attack strength 1.053
Charlton defence strength 0.913
Swansea attack strength 0.809
Swansea defence strength 0.853
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 12 / 58