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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 22 Nov 2025

12:30

Venue

The Valley

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Charlton Win

51%

Charlton

1.97

25%

Draw

3.94

24%

Southampton

4.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

2 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Charlton xG

Total xG

2.54

0.98

Southampton xG

51%
25%
24%
CharltonDrawSouthampton

1.97

51%

Home win

3.94

25%

Draw

4.21

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

37%

Charlton

2.67

21%

Southampton

4.76

Win to Nil

19%

Charlton

5.25

5%

Southampton

20.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 7.7 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 12.3 12.1 5.9 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.6 9.4 4.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 5.0 4.9 2.4 0.8 0.2
4 1.9 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.561
λ Away (xG) 0.981
Total xG 2.542
League avg home goals 1.239
League avg away goals 1.171
Charlton attack strength 0.962
Charlton defence strength 0.864
Southampton attack strength 0.969
Southampton defence strength 1.309
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 15 / 15