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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Fri 17 Jan 2025

20:00

Venue

Turf Moor

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

36%

Burnley

2.80

37%

Draw

2.71

27%

Sunderland

3.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

17.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

16.7%

Home win

0 – 1

14.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.93

Burnley xG

Total xG

1.72

0.79

Sunderland xG

36%
37%
27%
BurnleyDrawSunderland

2.80

36%

Home win

2.71

37%

Draw

3.64

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

51%

Over 1.5

1.96

49%

Under 1.5

2.04

25%

Over 2.5

4.00

75%

Under 2.5

1.33

10%

Over 3.5

10.00

90%

Under 3.5

1.11

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

35%

BTTS Yes

2.89

65%

BTTS No

1.53

Clean Sheet

46%

Burnley

2.19

39%

Sunderland

2.54

Win to Nil

16%

Burnley

6.14

11%

Sunderland

9.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 17.9 14.1 5.5 1.4 0.3
1 16.7 13.1 5.2 1.3 0.3
2 7.8 6.1 2.4 0.6 0.1
3 2.4 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 0.6 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.933
λ Away (xG) 0.785
Total xG 1.718
League avg home goals 1.395
League avg away goals 1.011
Burnley attack strength 0.728
Burnley defence strength 0.723
Sunderland attack strength 1.074
Sunderland defence strength 0.919
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 26 / 72