🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Burnley Win
48%
2.07
34%
2.93
18%
5.70
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
20.8%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
18.5%
Draw
1 – 1
11.7%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.12
Burnley xG
Total xG
1.69
0.56
Stoke City xG
BurnleyDrawStoke City
2.07
48%
Home win
2.93
34%
Draw
5.70
18%
Away win
Goals Markets
50%
Over 1.5
2.00
50%
Under 1.5
2.00
24%
Over 2.5
4.17
76%
Under 2.5
1.32
9%
Over 3.5
11.11
91%
Under 3.5
1.10
3%
Over 4.5
33.33
97%
Under 4.5
1.03
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
30%
BTTS Yes
3.33
70%
BTTS No
1.43
Clean Sheet
57%
1.76
33%
3.07
Win to Nil
27%
3.64
6%
17.52
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 18.5 | 10.4 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 20.8 | 11.7 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 11.7 | 6.6 | 1.9 | 0.4 | – | – |
| 3 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 4 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – | – | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.123
λ Away (xG)
0.565
Total xG
1.688
League avg home goals
1.401
League avg away goals
1.017
Burnley attack strength
0.787
Burnley defence strength
0.723
Stoke City attack strength
0.767
Stoke City defence strength
1.020
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
24 / 70