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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Mon 27 Jan 2025

20:00

Venue

Turf Moor

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

32%

Burnley

3.17

36%

Draw

2.77

32%

Leeds

3.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

18.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

15.7%

Away win

1 – 0

15.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.84

Burnley xG

Total xG

1.70

0.86

Leeds xG

32%
36%
32%
BurnleyDrawLeeds

3.17

32%

Home win

2.77

36%

Draw

3.09

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

51%

Over 1.5

1.96

49%

Under 1.5

2.04

24%

Over 2.5

4.17

76%

Under 2.5

1.32

9%

Over 3.5

11.11

91%

Under 3.5

1.10

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

34%

BTTS Yes

2.97

66%

BTTS No

1.51

Clean Sheet

42%

Burnley

2.36

43%

Leeds

2.32

Win to Nil

13%

Burnley

7.47

14%

Leeds

7.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 18.3 15.7 6.7 1.9 0.4 0.1
1 15.4 13.2 5.7 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 6.5 5.5 2.4 0.7 0.1
3 1.8 1.6 0.7 0.2
4 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.841
λ Away (xG) 0.857
Total xG 1.698
League avg home goals 1.386
League avg away goals 1.041
Burnley attack strength 0.675
Burnley defence strength 0.671
Leeds attack strength 1.227
Leeds defence strength 0.899
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 28 / 74