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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Burnley Win
53%
1.90
30%
3.38
18%
5.63
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
19.1%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
14.8%
Draw
2 – 0
12.3%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.29
Burnley xG
Total xG
1.91
0.62
Bristol City xG
BurnleyDrawBristol City
1.90
53%
Home win
3.38
30%
Draw
5.63
18%
Away win
Goals Markets
57%
Over 1.5
1.75
43%
Under 1.5
2.33
30%
Over 2.5
3.33
70%
Under 2.5
1.43
13%
Over 3.5
7.69
87%
Under 3.5
1.15
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
34%
BTTS Yes
2.96
66%
BTTS No
1.51
Clean Sheet
54%
1.86
28%
3.63
Win to Nil
28%
3.54
5%
20.44
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.8 | 9.2 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 19.1 | 11.9 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 12.3 | 7.6 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 5.3 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.290
λ Away (xG)
0.622
Total xG
1.912
League avg home goals
1.324
League avg away goals
1.024
Burnley attack strength
1.015
Burnley defence strength
0.602
Bristol City attack strength
1.009
Bristol City defence strength
0.959
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
38 / 84