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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 22 Nov 2025

12:30

Venue

Ashton Gate Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bristol City Win

39%

Bristol City

2.57

29%

Draw

3.41

32%

Swansea

3.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

0 – 1

11.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Bristol City xG

Total xG

2.16

1.01

Swansea xG

39%
29%
32%
Bristol CityDrawSwansea

2.57

39%

Home win

3.41

29%

Draw

3.15

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.30

56%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

36%

Bristol City

2.75

32%

Swansea

3.16

Win to Nil

14%

Bristol City

7.07

10%

Swansea

9.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.5 11.6 5.9 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 13.2 13.4 6.8 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 7.6 7.7 3.9 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 2.9 3.0 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.151
λ Away (xG) 1.011
Total xG 2.162
League avg home goals 1.239
League avg away goals 1.171
Bristol City attack strength 1.040
Bristol City defence strength 1.027
Swansea attack strength 0.840
Swansea defence strength 0.893
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61