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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 43

Kick-off

Fri 18 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Ashton Gate Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bristol City Win

43%

Bristol City

2.30

29%

Draw

3.39

27%

Sunderland

3.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

12.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Bristol City xG

Total xG

2.10

0.89

Sunderland xG

43%
29%
27%
Bristol CityDrawSunderland

2.30

43%

Home win

3.39

29%

Draw

3.69

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.42

59%

BTTS No

1.70

Clean Sheet

41%

Bristol City

2.43

30%

Sunderland

3.35

Win to Nil

18%

Bristol City

5.59

8%

Sunderland

12.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.3 10.9 4.8 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 14.8 13.2 5.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 9.0 8.0 3.5 1.0 0.2
3 3.6 3.2 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.209
λ Away (xG) 0.888
Total xG 2.097
League avg home goals 1.264
League avg away goals 0.993
Bristol City attack strength 1.130
Bristol City defence strength 0.895
Sunderland attack strength 1.000
Sunderland defence strength 0.846
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 88 / 88