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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

15:00

Venue

Ashton Gate Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bristol City Win

49%

Bristol City

2.05

24%

Draw

4.22

27%

QPR

3.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

1 – 0

6.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.92

Bristol City xG

Total xG

3.33

1.41

QPR xG

49%
24%
27%
Bristol CityDrawQPR

2.05

49%

Home win

4.22

24%

Draw

3.64

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.53

35%

BTTS No

2.87

Clean Sheet

25%

Bristol City

4.08

15%

QPR

6.83

Win to Nil

12%

Bristol City

8.35

4%

QPR

24.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6 5.0 3.5 1.7 0.6 0.2
1 6.9 9.7 6.8 3.2 1.1 0.3
2 6.6 9.3 6.5 3.1 1.1 0.3
3 4.2 6.0 4.2 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 2.0 2.9 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.921
λ Away (xG) 1.406
Total xG 3.327
League avg home goals 1.189
League avg away goals 1.183
Bristol City attack strength 1.129
Bristol City defence strength 1.166
QPR attack strength 1.020
QPR defence strength 1.432
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54