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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 14 Dec 2024

12:30

Venue

Ashton Gate Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bristol City Win

40%

Bristol City

2.47

34%

Draw

2.91

25%

QPR

3.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.8%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.1%

Draw

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

Bristol City xG

Total xG

1.96

0.84

QPR xG

40%
34%
25%
Bristol CityDrawQPR

2.47

40%

Home win

2.91

34%

Draw

3.96

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.50

60%

BTTS No

1.67

Clean Sheet

43%

Bristol City

2.31

32%

QPR

3.08

Win to Nil

18%

Bristol City

5.71

8%

QPR

12.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.1 11.8 4.9 1.4 0.3
1 15.8 13.2 5.5 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 8.9 7.4 3.1 0.9 0.2
3 3.3 2.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.125
λ Away (xG) 0.837
Total xG 1.962
League avg home goals 1.344
League avg away goals 1.017
Bristol City attack strength 1.011
Bristol City defence strength 0.954
QPR attack strength 0.862
QPR defence strength 0.828
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66