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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 46

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

12:30

Venue

Ashton Gate Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bristol City Win

57%

Bristol City

1.76

25%

Draw

4.08

19%

Preston

5.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

2 – 0

11.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.64

Bristol City xG

Total xG

2.46

0.82

Preston xG

57%
25%
19%
Bristol CityDrawPreston

1.76

57%

Home win

4.08

25%

Draw

5.38

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.22

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

44%

Bristol City

2.27

19%

Preston

5.16

Win to Nil

25%

Bristol City

3.99

4%

Preston

27.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 7.0 2.9 0.8 0.2
1 14.0 11.5 4.7 1.3 0.3
2 11.5 9.4 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 6.3 5.2 2.1 0.6 0.1
4 2.6 2.1 0.9 0.2
5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.641
λ Away (xG) 0.819
Total xG 2.460
League avg home goals 1.302
League avg away goals 1.004
Bristol City attack strength 1.151
Bristol City defence strength 0.915
Preston attack strength 0.892
Preston defence strength 1.095
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 91 / 91