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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 20 Dec 2025

15:00

Venue

Ashton Gate Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Middlesbrough Win

35%

Bristol City

2.86

28%

Draw

3.57

37%

Middlesbrough

2.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.1%

Away win

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Bristol City xG

Total xG

2.56

1.30

Middlesbrough xG

35%
28%
37%
Bristol CityDrawMiddlesbrough

2.86

35%

Home win

3.57

28%

Draw

2.70

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

27%

Bristol City

3.68

28%

Middlesbrough

3.52

Win to Nil

9%

Bristol City

10.54

11%

Middlesbrough

9.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 10.1 6.6 2.8 0.9 0.2
1 9.7 12.7 8.2 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.1 8.0 5.2 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 2.6 3.3 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.258
λ Away (xG) 1.303
Total xG 2.561
League avg home goals 1.390
League avg away goals 1.204
Bristol City attack strength 0.975
Bristol City defence strength 0.992
Middlesbrough attack strength 1.090
Middlesbrough defence strength 0.929
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67