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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Fri 21 Feb 2025

19:45

Venue

Ashton Gate Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bristol City Win

47%

Bristol City

2.12

26%

Draw

3.83

27%

Middlesbrough

3.73

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

Bristol City xG

Total xG

2.67

1.11

Middlesbrough xG

47%
26%
27%
Bristol CityDrawMiddlesbrough

2.12

47%

Home win

3.83

26%

Draw

3.73

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

33%

Bristol City

3.04

21%

Middlesbrough

4.74

Win to Nil

15%

Bristol City

6.46

6%

Middlesbrough

17.67

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 7.7 4.3 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 10.8 12.0 6.7 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.4 9.3 5.2 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 4.3 4.8 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.7 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.555
λ Away (xG) 1.113
Total xG 2.668
League avg home goals 1.346
League avg away goals 1.036
Bristol City attack strength 0.964
Bristol City defence strength 0.789
Middlesbrough attack strength 1.360
Middlesbrough defence strength 1.199
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 79 / 78