Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Ashton Gate Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bristol City Win

36%

Bristol City

2.81

34%

Draw

2.95

31%

Hull City

3.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

18.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

16.3%

Home win

0 – 1

14.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.90

Bristol City xG

Total xG

1.71

0.81

Hull City xG

36%
34%
31%
Bristol CityDrawHull City

2.81

36%

Home win

2.95

34%

Draw

3.28

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

51%

Over 1.5

1.96

49%

Under 1.5

2.04

24%

Over 2.5

4.17

76%

Under 2.5

1.32

9%

Over 3.5

11.11

91%

Under 3.5

1.10

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

33%

BTTS Yes

3.05

67%

BTTS No

1.49

Clean Sheet

45%

Bristol City

2.24

41%

Hull City

2.45

Win to Nil

16%

Bristol City

6.31

12%

Hull City

8.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 18.2 14.7 5.9 1.6 0.3 0.1
1 16.3 13.2 5.3 1.4 0.3
2 7.3 5.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
3 2.2 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 0.5 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.897
λ Away (xG) 0.808
Total xG 1.705
League avg home goals 1.281
League avg away goals 1.137
Bristol City attack strength 0.929
Bristol City defence strength 0.866
Hull City attack strength 0.821
Hull City defence strength 0.754
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49