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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Bristol City Win
59%
1.68
26%
3.92
15%
6.65
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.3%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
12.4%
Home win
1 – 1
10.9%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.73
Bristol City xG
Total xG
2.49
0.76
Derby xG
Bristol CityDrawDerby
1.68
59%
Home win
3.92
26%
Draw
6.65
15%
Away win
Goals Markets
71%
Over 1.5
1.41
29%
Under 1.5
3.45
45%
Over 2.5
2.22
55%
Under 2.5
1.82
24%
Over 3.5
4.17
76%
Under 3.5
1.32
11%
Over 4.5
9.09
89%
Under 4.5
1.12
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
45%
BTTS Yes
2.23
55%
BTTS No
1.82
Clean Sheet
47%
2.14
18%
5.64
Win to Nil
28%
3.60
3%
37.47
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.3 | 6.3 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 14.3 | 10.9 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 12.4 | 9.4 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 7.1 | 5.4 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.729
λ Away (xG)
0.761
Total xG
2.490
League avg home goals
1.404
League avg away goals
1.008
Bristol City attack strength
0.983
Bristol City defence strength
0.842
Derby attack strength
0.897
Derby defence strength
1.253
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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