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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Ashton Gate Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bristol City Win

55%

Bristol City

1.81

24%

Draw

4.14

21%

Charlton

4.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

2 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.68

Bristol City xG

Total xG

2.60

0.92

Charlton xG

55%
24%
21%
Bristol CityDrawCharlton

1.81

55%

Home win

4.14

24%

Draw

4.86

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

40%

Bristol City

2.52

19%

Charlton

5.38

Win to Nil

22%

Bristol City

4.55

4%

Charlton

26.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 6.8 3.1 1.0 0.2
1 12.4 11.5 5.3 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.5 9.6 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 5.9 5.4 2.5 0.8 0.2
4 2.5 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.682
λ Away (xG) 0.923
Total xG 2.605
League avg home goals 1.330
League avg away goals 1.122
Bristol City attack strength 1.100
Bristol City defence strength 0.967
Charlton attack strength 0.850
Charlton defence strength 1.150
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 47 / 1