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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Sat 15 Mar 2025

15:00

Venue

Ewood Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Blackburn Win

55%

Blackburn

1.81

24%

Draw

4.16

21%

Cardiff

4.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

2 – 0

10.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.74

Blackburn xG

Total xG

2.71

0.97

Cardiff xG

55%
24%
21%
BlackburnDrawCardiff

1.81

55%

Home win

4.16

24%

Draw

4.84

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

38%

Blackburn

2.64

18%

Cardiff

5.70

Win to Nil

21%

Blackburn

4.77

4%

Cardiff

27.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 6.4 3.1 1.0 0.2
1 11.6 11.2 5.4 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 10.1 9.8 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 5.9 5.7 2.7 0.9 0.2
4 2.5 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.741
λ Away (xG) 0.969
Total xG 2.710
League avg home goals 1.342
League avg away goals 1.032
Blackburn attack strength 0.931
Blackburn defence strength 0.929
Cardiff attack strength 1.011
Cardiff defence strength 1.393
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 83 / 83