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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 4 Jan 2025

12:30

Venue

Ewood Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Burnley Win

23%

Blackburn

4.38

37%

Draw

2.73

41%

Burnley

2.47

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

19.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

19.1%

Away win

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.66

Blackburn xG

Total xG

1.62

0.97

Burnley xG

23%
37%
41%
BlackburnDrawBurnley

4.38

23%

Home win

2.73

37%

Draw

2.47

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

48%

Over 1.5

2.08

52%

Under 1.5

1.92

22%

Over 2.5

4.55

78%

Under 2.5

1.28

8%

Over 3.5

12.50

92%

Under 3.5

1.09

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

31%

BTTS Yes

3.23

69%

BTTS No

1.45

Clean Sheet

38%

Blackburn

2.64

52%

Burnley

1.93

Win to Nil

9%

Blackburn

11.53

21%

Burnley

4.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 19.7 19.1 9.2 3.0 0.7 0.1
1 12.9 12.5 6.1 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 4.2 4.1 2.0 0.6 0.2
3 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1
4 0.2 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.656
λ Away (xG) 0.969
Total xG 1.625
League avg home goals 1.418
League avg away goals 1.012
Blackburn attack strength 0.885
Blackburn defence strength 0.960
Burnley attack strength 0.998
Burnley defence strength 0.523
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 25