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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Ewood Park

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Blackburn Win

53%

Blackburn

1.89

25%

Draw

4.04

22%

Birmingham

4.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

2 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

Blackburn xG

Total xG

2.59

0.97

Birmingham xG

53%
25%
22%
BlackburnDrawBirmingham

1.89

53%

Home win

4.04

25%

Draw

4.46

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

38%

Blackburn

2.63

20%

Birmingham

5.07

Win to Nil

20%

Blackburn

4.98

4%

Birmingham

22.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 7.2 3.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 12.2 11.8 5.7 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.9 9.6 4.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 5.4 5.2 2.5 0.8 0.2
4 2.2 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.624
λ Away (xG) 0.966
Total xG 2.590
League avg home goals 1.330
League avg away goals 1.122
Blackburn attack strength 1.062
Blackburn defence strength 1.012
Birmingham attack strength 0.850
Birmingham defence strength 1.150
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 47 / 1