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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Tuesday 2 March 2027

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

Eight fixtures clear the bar on Tuesday 2 March 2027. Bayern München vs SC Freiburg (Bayern München (draw no bet)) sits top on 90% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 72%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 8, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München (draw no bet) 90%
Bayern München
– : – 19:30
SC Freiburg
Win 80%
Draw 11%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 84% BTTS Yes 67%
#2 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 1. FC Kaiserslautern (draw no bet) 83%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
– : – 17:30
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
BTTS No 57%
#3 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Energie Cottbus (draw no bet) 81%
Energie Cottbus
– : – 17:30
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 66%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayer Leverkusen (draw no bet) 80%
Bayer Leverkusen
– : – 19:30
1899 Hoffenheim
Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 60%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy Avellino (draw no bet) 77%
Avellino
– : – 14:00
Catanzaro
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 61%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany SV Elversberg (draw no bet) 75%
SV Elversberg
– : – 19:30
RB Leipzig
Win 62%
Draw 18%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 72%
#7 Championship Β· England Cardiff (draw no bet) 72%
Cardiff
– : – 19:45
Derby
Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 65%
#8 Serie B Β· Italy Sudtirol (draw no bet) 72%
Sudtirol
– : – 14:00
Vicenza Virtus
Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%

Showing top 8 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Tuesday 2 March 2027?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs SC Freiburg (Bayern München (draw no bet)) at 90% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.