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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Sunday 10 January 2027

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

Seven matches clear our threshold on Sunday 10 January 2027. The strongest reading belongs to Atletico Madrid vs Racing Santander (Atletico Madrid (draw no bet)) at 95% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 71%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

La Liga supplies three of the top 7, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain Atletico Madrid (draw no bet) 95%
Atletico Madrid
– : – 16:00
Racing Santander
Win 84%
Draw 11%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 54%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid (draw no bet) 92%
Real Madrid
– : – 16:00
Levante
Win 78%
Draw 16%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS No 54%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona (draw no bet) 81%
Osasuna
– : – 16:00
Barcelona
Win 15%
Draw 22%
Win 63%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Heracles (draw no bet) 75%
Heracles
– : – 11:15
NAC Breda
Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 67%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy Monza (draw no bet) 73%
Monza
– : – 17:30
Frosinone
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto (draw no bet) 73%
SC Braga
– : – 16:00
FC Porto
Win 21%
Draw 23%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Groningen (draw no bet) 71%
Groningen
– : – 15:45
GO Ahead Eagles
Win 57%
Draw 19%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 79%

Showing top 7 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Sunday 10 January 2027?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Atletico Madrid vs Racing Santander (Atletico Madrid (draw no bet)) at 95% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.