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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Friday 14 March 2025

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

13 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 14 March 2025. Galatasaray vs Antalyaspor (Galatasaray (draw no bet)) sits top on 84% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 70%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the draw no bet market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray (draw no bet) 84%
Galatasaray
4 : 0 FT
Antalyaspor
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr (draw no bet) 83%
Al-Nassr
3 : 1 FT
Al Kholood
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 16%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Dordrecht (draw no bet) 82%
Dordrecht
4 : 0 FT
VVV Venlo
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Telstar (draw no bet) 82%
Telstar
3 : 1 FT
Roda
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France Nice (draw no bet) 81%
Nice
1 : 1 FT
Auxerre
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands ADO Den Haag (draw no bet) 81%
Vitesse
0 : 1 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 15%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 64%
Over 2.5 56%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Emmen (draw no bet) 78%
Emmen
2 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Helmond Sport (draw no bet) 78%
Helmond Sport
1 : 1 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Premier Division Β· Ireland Shelbourne (draw no bet) 75%
Shelbourne
1 : 1 FT
Cork City
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
#10 Premier Division Β· Ireland Drogheda United (draw no bet) 71%
Drogheda United
1 : 2 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
#11 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium RAAL La Louvière (draw no bet) 71%
RAAL La Louvière
2 : 1 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 54%
#12 Championship Β· England Bristol City (draw no bet) 71%
Bristol City
2 : 1 FT
Norwich
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 62%
#13 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al Khaleej Saihat (draw no bet) 70%
Al Khaleej Saihat
0 : 2 FT
Al Wehda Club
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%

Showing top 13 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Friday 14 March 2025?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Galatasaray vs Antalyaspor (Galatasaray (draw no bet)) at 84% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.