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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability — Saturday 25 February 2023

Wed 22 Thu 23 Fri 24 Sat 25 Sun 26 Mon 27 Tue 28

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 25 February 2023. The strongest reading belongs to AEK Athens FC vs Asteras Tripolis (AEK Athens FC (draw no bet)) at 96% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 74%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the draw no bet market — 88%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League 1 · Greece AEK Athens FC (draw no bet) 96%

Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ AEK Athens FC Clean Sheet 64%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Genk (draw no bet) 89%

Championship · England Burnley (draw no bet) 86%

✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 55%

League One · England Bolton (draw no bet) 85%

Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 67% Bolton Clean Sheet 60%

League Two · England Stevenage (draw no bet) 82%

Thai League 1 · Thailand Muangthong United (draw no bet) 82%

Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%

Premier League · England West Ham (draw no bet) 81%

Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 61%

Eredivisie · Netherlands NEC Nijmegen (draw no bet) 81%

Thai League 1 · Thailand Ratchaburi (draw no bet) 78%

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%

#10

Super League 1 · Greece PAOK (draw no bet) 78%

#11

Eredivisie · Netherlands Groningen (draw no bet) 78%

✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%

#12

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Dortmund (draw no bet) 77%

Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 60%

#13

Serie A · Italy Napoli (draw no bet) 77%

✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 56%

#14

Ligue 2 · France Valenciennes (draw no bet) 76%

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%

#15

Championship · England Sheffield Utd (draw no bet) 75%

#16

Bundesliga · Germany Werder Bremen (draw no bet) 75%

✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%

#17

Serie B · Italy Como (draw no bet) 75%

Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%

#18

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Sparta Praha (draw no bet) 74%

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

#19

League One · England Lincoln (draw no bet) 74%

✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61%

#20

League One · England Burton Albion (draw no bet) 74%

✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Draw No Bet — common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Saturday 25 February 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by AEK Athens FC vs Asteras Tripolis (AEK Athens FC (draw no bet)) at 96% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.