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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Tuesday 25 October 2022

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

16 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 25 October 2022. Al Wahda FC vs Al-Dhafra (Al Wahda FC (draw no bet)) led the list at 91% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 71%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League One supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the draw no bet market — 91%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al Wahda FC (draw no bet) 91%
Al Wahda FC
4 : 2 FT
Al-Dhafra
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 67%
#2 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Sharjah FC (draw no bet) 84%
Al Bataeh
0 : 1 FT
Sharjah FC
Win 14%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 70%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 61%
#3 League Two Β· England Leyton Orient (draw no bet) 82%
Leyton Orient
2 : 0 FT
Gillingham
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 68% ✓ Leyton Orient Clean Sheet 59%
#4 League One Β· England Peterborough (draw no bet) 82%
Peterborough
3 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 58%
#5 Super League Β· China Wuhan Three Towns (draw no bet) 79%
Wuhan Three Towns
4 : 0 FT
Dalian Aerbin
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 17%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 72%
#6 League One Β· England Plymouth (draw no bet) 79%
Plymouth
2 : 1 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 63%
#7 League Two Β· England Tranmere (draw no bet) 78%
Tranmere
1 : 1 FT
Rochdale
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 57%
#8 League One Β· England Bolton (draw no bet) 77%
Bolton
2 : 1 FT
Burton Albion
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#9 League One Β· England Wycombe (draw no bet) 76%
Wycombe
2 : 3 FT
Cambridge United
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
#10 Super League Β· China Shanghai Shenhua (draw no bet) 76%
Shanghai Shenhua
1 : 1 FT
Guangzhou R&F
Win 53%
Draw 31%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 69% Shanghai Shenhua Clean Sheet 57%
#11 League Two Β· England Northampton (draw no bet) 75%
Northampton
2 : 2 FT
Sutton Utd
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 56%
#12 Championship Β· England Coventry (draw no bet) 73%
Coventry
2 : 2 FT
Rotherham
Win 48%
Draw 34%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 74% Coventry Clean Sheet 59%
#13 League Two Β· England Walsall (draw no bet) 72%
Walsall
3 : 1 FT
Harrogate Town
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%
#14 League One Β· England Ipswich (draw no bet) 71%
Port Vale
2 : 3 FT
Ipswich
Win 22%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 53%
#15 League Two Β· England Salford City (draw no bet) 71%
Hartlepool
0 : 2 FT
Salford City
Win 21%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#16 Superettan Β· Sweden Halmstad (draw no bet) 71%
Halmstad
0 : 0 FT
Orebro SK
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 16 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Tuesday 25 October 2022?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al Wahda FC vs Al-Dhafra (Al Wahda FC (draw no bet)) at 91% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.