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Draw No Bet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest draw no bet probability β€” Wednesday 27 October 2021

Draw No Bet backs a side to win, with the stake returned if the match is drawn. Our prediction model takes the side's win probability as a share of all decisive results, ignoring the draw. Only selections at 70%+ probability are shown.

Six matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 27 October 2021. Slavia Praha vs Sigma Olomouc (Slavia Praha (draw no bet)) led the list at 86% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 71%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie A supplies three of the top 6, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the draw no bet market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha (draw no bet) 86%
Slavia Praha
1 : 0 FT
Sigma Olomouc
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 16%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 58%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain Rayo Vallecano (draw no bet) 82%
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 0 FT
Barcelona
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy Inter (draw no bet) 80%
Empoli
0 : 2 FT
Inter
Win 17%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 66%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 68%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil Bahia (draw no bet) 72%
Bahia
1 : 1 FT
Ceara
Win 50%
Draw 32%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy Atalanta (draw no bet) 72%
Sampdoria
1 : 3 FT
Atalanta
Win 22%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway Sandefjord (draw no bet) 71%
Sandefjord
2 : 0 FT
Stromsgodset
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 34%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%

Showing top 6 fixtures by draw no bet probability (a 70% or higher draw no bet probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Draw No Bet β€” common questions

What does the Draw No Bet market mean?

Draw No Bet settles on whether a match is won by the selected side, with the stake returned if it ends level. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate draw no bet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The draw no bet probability shown here is the selected side's win probability divided by the chance the match has a winner at all, since a draw returns the stake. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Draw No Bet on Wednesday 27 October 2021?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Slavia Praha vs Sigma Olomouc (Slavia Praha (draw no bet)) at 86% draw no bet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher draw no bet probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these draw no bet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.