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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 27 April 2027

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Eight matches clear our threshold on Tuesday 27 April 2027. The strongest reading belongs to Stevenage vs AFC Wimbledon (Stevenage or draw) at 89% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies four of the top 8, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England Stevenage or draw 89%
Stevenage
– : – 18:45
AFC Wimbledon
Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 55%
#2 League One Β· England Huddersfield or draw 81%
Huddersfield
– : – 18:45
Burton Albion
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 58%
#3 League Two Β· England Walsall or draw 81%
Crawley Town
– : – 18:45
Walsall
Win 19%
Draw 27%
Win 53%
BTTS Yes 55%
#4 League One Β· England Mansfield Town or draw 81%
Mansfield Town
– : – 18:45
Wigan
Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#5 League Two Β· England Swindon Town or draw 80%
Swindon Town
– : – 18:45
Rochdale
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
#6 League Two Β· England Port Vale or draw 78%
Port Vale
– : – 18:45
Colchester
Win 41%
Draw 36%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 63%
#7 League Two Β· England Oldham or draw 77%
Oldham
– : – 18:45
Northampton
Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 58%
#8 League One Β· England Notts County or draw 76%
Notts County
– : – 18:45
Peterborough
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%

Showing top 8 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 27 April 2027?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Stevenage vs AFC Wimbledon (Stevenage or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.