Sign in Register
🛡️

Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 16 April 2027

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists six fixtures on Friday 16 April 2027. Heracles vs Jong Ajax (Heracles or draw) tops the list at 91% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 6, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Heracles or draw 91%
Heracles
– : – 18:00
Jong Ajax
Win 78%
Draw 13%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 62%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Waalwijk or draw 86%
Waalwijk
– : – 18:00
FC Eindhoven
Win 69%
Draw 16%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France Reims or draw 85%
Reims
– : – 18:00
Metz
Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 62%
#4 Ligue 2 Β· France Montpellier or draw 81%
Montpellier
– : – 18:00
Sochaux
Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 62%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC OSS or draw 77%
FC OSS
– : – 18:00
Emmen
Win 58%
Draw 19%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 70%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France Nancy or draw 76%
Grenoble
– : – 18:00
Nancy
Win 24%
Draw 29%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%

Showing top 6 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 16 April 2027?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Heracles vs Jong Ajax (Heracles or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.