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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 14 March 2027

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 14 March 2027. Barcelona vs Deportivo La Coruna (Barcelona or draw) sits top on 90% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

La Liga supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga · Spain Barcelona or draw 90%
Barcelona
– : – 16:00
Deportivo La Coruna
Win 76%
Draw 14%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 68%
#2 Süper Lig · Turkey Galatasaray or draw 89%
Galatasaray
– : – 12:00
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 63%
#3 La Liga · Spain Real Madrid or draw 89%
Real Madrid
– : – 16:00
Espanyol
Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 54%
#4 2. Bundesliga · Germany FC St. Pauli or draw 87%
FC St. Pauli
– : – 12:30
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 53%
#5 Eredivisie · Netherlands Twente or draw 85%
Willem II
– : – 16:00
Twente
Win 15%
Draw 22%
Win 62%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 57%
#6 La Liga · Spain Real Betis or draw 84%
Real Betis
– : – 16:00
Levante
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 53%
#7 Serie A · Italy Frosinone or draw 83%
Frosinone
– : – 17:30
Monza
Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 64%
#8 Primeira Liga · Portugal Sporting CP or draw 83%
Academico Viseu
– : – 16:00
Sporting CP
Win 17%
Draw 20%
Win 63%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 55%
#9 Serie A · Italy AS Roma or draw 82%
Genoa
– : – 17:30
AS Roma
Win 18%
Draw 24%
Win 58%
BTTS No 53%
#10 Serie A · Italy AC Milan or draw 81%
AC Milan
– : – 17:30
Sassuolo
Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 63%
#11 Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto or draw 80%
FC Porto
– : – 16:00
GIL Vicente
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 56%
#12 Eredivisie · Netherlands Groningen or draw 79%
Utrecht
– : – 16:00
Groningen
Win 21%
Draw 18%
Win 61%
Over 2.5 84% BTTS Yes 79%
#13 Primeira Liga · Portugal Estrela or draw 79%
Casa Pia
– : – 16:00
Estrela
Win 21%
Draw 22%
Win 57%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 57%
#14 2. Bundesliga · Germany Dynamo Dresden or draw 79%
Dynamo Dresden
– : – 12:30
Holstein Kiel
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
#15 Thai League 1 · Thailand Ayutthaya FC or draw 78%
Ayutthaya FC
– : – 12:00
Sukhothai FC
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
BTTS Yes 53%
#16 Süper Lig · Turkey Çorum FK or draw 77%
Rizespor
– : – 12:00
Çorum FK
Win 23%
Draw 20%
Win 57%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 66%
#17 Eredivisie · Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 77%
Telstar
– : – 16:00
PSV Eindhoven
Win 23%
Draw 19%
Win 57%
Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 78%
#18 2. Bundesliga · Germany 1. FC Kaiserslautern or draw 77%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
– : – 12:30
1. FC Nürnberg
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
#19 Thai League 1 · Thailand BG Pathum United or draw 76%
BG Pathum United
– : – 11:30
Chonburi FC
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
#20 Eredivisie · Netherlands AZ Alkmaar or draw 76%
AZ Alkmaar
– : – 16:00
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 70%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 14 March 2027?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Barcelona vs Deportivo La Coruna (Barcelona or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.