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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 18 December 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Four fixtures clear the bar on Friday 18 December 2026. The strongest reading belongs to FC Volendam vs Emmen (FC Volendam or draw) at 84% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 78%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 4, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC Volendam or draw 84%
FC Volendam
– : – 19:00
Emmen
Win 68%
Draw 16%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 69%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Waalwijk or draw 83%
Waalwijk
– : – 19:00
Jong Ajax
Win 66%
Draw 17%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 67%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Telstar or draw 79%
Telstar
– : – 19:00
Willem II
Win 60%
Draw 19%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 76%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Heracles or draw 78%
De Graafschap
– : – 19:00
Heracles
Win 22%
Draw 18%
Win 60%
Over 2.5 79% BTTS Yes 74%

Showing top 4 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 18 December 2026?

four fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Volendam vs Emmen (FC Volendam or draw) at 84% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.