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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Monday 14 September 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Twelve matches cleared our threshold on Monday 14 September 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord (Bodo/Glimt or draw) at 89% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 92%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway Bodo/Glimt or draw 89%
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 2 FT
Sandefjord
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Djurgardens IF or draw 86%
Djurgardens IF
2 : 0 FT
Gais
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil Bahia or draw 85%
Bahia
2 : 1 FT
Remo
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#4 Premier League Β· Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 82%
Shakhtar Donetsk
2 : 0 FT
Chornomorets
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 32%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#5 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Sirius or draw 80%
Sirius
2 : 0 FT
Degerfors IF
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
#6 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Estrela or draw 77%
Rio Ave
3 : 3 FT
Estrela
Win 23%
Draw 22%
Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Premier Division Β· Ireland St Patrick's Athl. or draw 76%
Dundalk
0 : 4 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 24%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal SC Braga or draw 76%
SC Braga
1 : 0 FT
Estoril
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#9 Serie A Β· Italy AS Roma or draw 76%
Torino
0 : 2 FT
AS Roma
Win 24%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 54%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%
#10 Premier Division Β· Ireland Waterford or draw 76%
Waterford
2 : 2 FT
Derry City
Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#11 La Liga Β· Spain Villarreal or draw 76%
Villarreal
1 : 2 FT
Real Betis
Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy Como or draw 76%
Como
2 : 1 FT
Parma
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 12 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 14 September 2026?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord (Bodo/Glimt or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.