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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 12 April 2026

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 12 April 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor (Galatasaray or draw) at 95% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 79%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray or draw 95%
Galatasaray
1 : 1 FT
Kocaelispor
Win 80%
Draw 15%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS No 54%
#2 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Buriram United or draw 89%
Buriram United
2 : 0 FT
Ayutthaya FC
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Premier League Β· Russia Lokomotiv or draw 89%
Lokomotiv
1 : 1 FT
Dinamo Makhachkala
Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 62%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil Atletico Paranaense or draw 89%
Atletico Paranaense
2 : 0 FT
Chapecoense-sc
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 58%
#5 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica or draw 87%
Benfica
2 : 0 FT
Nacional
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#6 Premier League Β· Russia CSKA Moscow or draw 87%
CSKA Moscow
0 : 1 FT
FC Sochi
Win 71%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Konyaspor or draw 85%
Konyaspor
3 : 0 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#8 Premier League Β· Ukraine Zorya Luhansk or draw 84%
Zorya Luhansk
1 : 0 FT
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#9 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Mlada Boleslav or draw 84%
Mlada Boleslav
1 : 1 FT
Dukla Praha
Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#10 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Cracovia Krakow or draw 83%
Cracovia Krakow
2 : 2 FT
Arka Gdynia
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
#11 La Liga Β· Spain Celta Vigo or draw 83%
Celta Vigo
0 : 3 FT
Oviedo
Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 66%
#12 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal SC Braga or draw 82%
SC Braga
1 : 0 FT
Arouca
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 61%
#13 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Sion or draw 81%
FC Sion
3 : 0 FT
Lausanne
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 56%
#14 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands ADO Den Haag or draw 81%
Dordrecht
1 : 0 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 19%
Draw 23%
Win 59%
#15 Super League Β· China Sichuan Jiuniu or draw 81%
Sichuan Jiuniu
3 : 4 FT
Yunnan Yukun
Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#16 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 81%
Slavia Praha
0 : 0 FT
Plzen
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 59%
#17 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PEC Zwolle or draw 80%
PEC Zwolle
2 : 2 FT
Excelsior
Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 54%
#18 Ligue 1 Β· France Lyon or draw 80%
Lyon
2 : 0 FT
Lorient
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#19 Serie A Β· Brazil Cruzeiro or draw 79%
Cruzeiro
2 : 1 FT
RB Bragantino
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
#20 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Fortuna Sittard or draw 79%
Fortuna Sittard
1 : 1 FT
NAC Breda
Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 12 April 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Galatasaray vs Kocaelispor (Galatasaray or draw) at 95% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.