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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 27 December 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

13 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 27 December 2025. Venezia vs Virtus Entella (Venezia or draw) led the list at 94% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie B supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the double chance market — 92%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie B Β· Italy Venezia or draw 94%
Venezia
1 : 0 FT
Virtus Entella
βœ“ Win 80%
Draw 14%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57% ✓ Venezia Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr or draw 88%
Al-Nassr
3 : 0 FT
Al Okhdood
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 55%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Qadisiyah FC or draw 85%
Al-Qadisiyah FC
1 : 1 FT
Damac
Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Premier League Β· England Arsenal or draw 85%
Arsenal
2 : 1 FT
Brighton
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#5 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Famalicao or draw 84%
Famalicao
2 : 3 FT
Estrela
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy Palermo or draw 83%
Palermo
1 : 0 FT
Padova
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 31%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#7 Premier League Β· England Liverpool or draw 82%
Liverpool
2 : 1 FT
Wolves
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%
#8 Serie A Β· Italy Juventus or draw 81%
Pisa
0 : 2 FT
Juventus
Win 19%
Draw 36%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS No 76% ✓ Juventus Clean Sheet 60%
#9 Serie B Β· Italy Juve Stabia or draw 79%
Juve Stabia
1 : 0 FT
Sudtirol
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 34%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#10 Serie B Β· Italy Carrarese or draw 79%
Carrarese
0 : 0 FT
Mantova
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#11 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Antwerp or draw 78%
Antwerp
2 : 1 FT
Zulte Waregem
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
#12 Serie B Β· Italy Bari or draw 78%
Bari
1 : 1 FT
Avellino
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#13 Premier League Β· England Brentford or draw 76%
Brentford
4 : 1 FT
Bournemouth
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 18%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%

Showing top 13 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 27 December 2025?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Venezia vs Virtus Entella (Venezia or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.