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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 24 October 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

15 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 24 October 2025. Port FC vs Muangthong United (Port FC or draw) led the list at 91% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the double chance market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Port FC or draw 91%
Port FC
1 : 0 FT
Muangthong United
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Serie B Β· Italy Modena or draw 88%
Modena
2 : 1 FT
Empoli
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 27%
Win 12%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy AC Milan or draw 85%
AC Milan
2 : 2 FT
Pisa
Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#4 Premier Division Β· Ireland St Patrick's Athl. or draw 84%
St Patrick's Athl.
1 : 1 FT
Waterford
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
BTTS No 55%
#5 Super League Β· China Wuhan Three Towns or draw 80%
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 2 FT
Sichuan Jiuniu
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Jong Utrecht or draw 77%
Jong Utrecht
0 : 0 FT
FC OSS
Win 58%
Draw 20%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 69%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Jong Ajax or draw 77%
Jong Ajax
0 : 1 FT
Emmen
Win 56%
Draw 20%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 66%
#8 Superettan Β· Sweden Orgryte IS or draw 77%
Orgryte IS
0 : 2 FT
Vasteras SK FK
Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 66%
#9 Primera División Β· Chile Palestino or draw 76%
Palestino
2 : 1 FT
Everton de Vina
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
#10 Ligue 2 Β· France PAU or draw 76%
PAU
0 : 3 FT
Dunkerque
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Cambuur or draw 75%
Waalwijk
4 : 2 FT
Cambuur
Win 25%
Draw 24%
Win 51%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#12 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Heerenveen or draw 75%
Heerenveen
3 : 3 FT
NAC Breda
Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#13 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal GIL Vicente or draw 75%
Alverca
0 : 4 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 25%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#14 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Kayserispor or draw 75%
Fatih Karagümrük
2 : 2 FT
Kayserispor
Win 25%
Draw 30%
Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#15 Championship Β· England Preston or draw 75%
Preston
3 : 2 FT
Sheffield Utd
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%

Showing top 15 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 24 October 2025?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Port FC vs Muangthong United (Port FC or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.