Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 12 September 2025
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
14 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 12 September 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Chengdu Better City vs Changchun Yatai (Chengdu Better City or draw) at 88% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the double chance market — 86%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Super League · China
Chengdu Better City or draw
88%
Super League · China
SHANGHAI SIPG or draw
88%
Eliteserien · Norway
Bodo/Glimt or draw
87%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Buriram United or draw
87%
Ligue 1 · France
Marseille or draw
86%
Premier League · Russia
Rubin or draw
83%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lechia Gdansk or draw
81%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica or draw
80%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07 or draw
79%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Forge or draw
79%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda or draw
78%
Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians or draw
78%
Super League · China
Shanghai Shenhua or draw
76%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong PSV U21 or draw
76%
Showing top 14 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 12 September 2025?
14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Chengdu Better City vs Changchun Yatai (Chengdu Better City or draw) at 88% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.