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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 31 August 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 31 August 2025. Flamengo vs Gremio (Flamengo or draw) sits top on 92% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 80%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil Flamengo or draw 92%
Flamengo
1 : 1 FT
Gremio
Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 57% Flamengo Clean Sheet 53%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway Fredrikstad or draw 90%
Fredrikstad
2 : 2 FT
Haugesund
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#3 Superettan Β· Sweden Oddevold or draw 89%
Umeå FC
0 : 2 FT
Oddevold
Win 11%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 71% ✓ Oddevold Clean Sheet 64%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Malmo FF or draw 86%
Malmo FF
1 : 1 FT
Degerfors IF
Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland HJK Helsinki or draw 86%
Kooteepee
1 : 4 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 14%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Super League Β· Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 85%
BSC Young Boys
3 : 1 FT
FC Lugano
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#7 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Ilves or draw 85%
Ilves
2 : 1 FT
Mariehamn
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#8 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica or draw 85%
Alverca
1 : 2 FT
Benfica
Win 15%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 63%
BTTS No 54%
#9 Serie B Β· Italy Carrarese or draw 84%
Carrarese
0 : 0 FT
Padova
Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 16%
BTTS Yes 53%
#10 Serie B Β· Italy Modena or draw 84%
Modena
1 : 1 FT
Avellino
Win 51%
Draw 33%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#11 Premier Division Β· Ireland Shamrock Rovers or draw 84%
Shamrock Rovers
2 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy Inter or draw 83%
Inter
1 : 2 FT
Udinese
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
#13 Primera División Β· Chile Nublense or draw 83%
Nublense
1 : 2 FT
Union Espanola
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 58%
#14 Eliteserien Β· Norway Viking or draw 82%
Viking
2 : 1 FT
Rosenborg
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#15 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 82%
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1 : 3 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 18%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 57%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 53%
#16 Eliteserien Β· Norway Molde or draw 82%
Stromsgodset
3 : 1 FT
Molde
Win 18%
Draw 23%
Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#17 Super League 1 Β· Greece AEK Athens FC or draw 81%
AEK Athens FC
1 : 0 FT
Asteras Tripolis
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#18 Serie B Β· Italy Bari or draw 81%
Bari
1 : 1 FT
Monza
Win 47%
Draw 34%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#19 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Muangthong United or draw 81%
Muangthong United
2 : 0 FT
Kanchanaburi
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
#20 Ligue 1 Β· France Lyon or draw 80%
Lyon
1 : 0 FT
Marseille
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 31 August 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Flamengo vs Gremio (Flamengo or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.