Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 10 May 2025
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 10 May 2025. Beijing Guoan vs Sichuan Jiuniu (Beijing Guoan or draw) led the list at 96% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 80%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Ligue 2 supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Super League · China
Beijing Guoan or draw
96%
Premier League · England
Brentford or draw
93%
Ligue 1 · France
Paris Saint Germain or draw
92%
Premier League · England
Manchester City or draw
90%
Serie A · Brazil
Fortaleza EC or draw
89%
Ligue 2 · France
Lorient or draw
87%
Ligue 2 · France
Paris FC or draw
85%
Ligue 1 · France
Strasbourg or draw
85%
Ligue 2 · France
Bastia or draw
85%
Superettan · Sweden
Sandviken or draw
85%
La Liga · Spain
Mallorca or draw
85%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München or draw
84%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
KuPS or draw
83%
Super League · China
Chengdu Better City or draw
82%
Serie A · Brazil
Mirassol or draw
82%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Pardubice or draw
81%
Serie A · Brazil
Vitoria or draw
81%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Gais or draw
81%
Ligue 2 · France
Estac Troyes or draw
80%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Konyaspor or draw
80%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 10 May 2025?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Beijing Guoan vs Sichuan Jiuniu (Beijing Guoan or draw) at 96% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.