Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 16 March 2025
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 16 March 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Buriram United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC (Buriram United or draw) at 96% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 80%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Buriram United or draw
96%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles or draw
89%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha or draw
86%
Bundesliga · Austria
Rapid Vienna or draw
86%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent or draw
86%
Serie A · Italy
AS Roma or draw
86%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KV Mechelen or draw
84%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Chiangrai United or draw
84%
Serie B · Italy
Pisa or draw
84%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Rizespor or draw
84%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax or draw
83%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Basel 1893 or draw
83%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
OH Leuven or draw
83%
Serie A · Italy
Napoli or draw
83%
Ligue 1 · France
Stade Brestois 29 or draw
82%
Premier League · England
Manchester United or draw
82%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vitória SC or draw
81%
Serie B · Italy
Catanzaro or draw
81%
Premier League · Russia
CSKA Moscow or draw
80%
Premier League · England
Arsenal or draw
80%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 16 March 2025?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Buriram United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC (Buriram United or draw) at 96% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.