Today's Double Chance Predictions

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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Tuesday 4 March 2025

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

18 fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 4 March 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Notts County vs Barrow (Notts County or draw) at 88% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League Two supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 83%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · England Notts County or draw 88%

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 65% Notts County Clean Sheet 57%

League Two · England Grimsby or draw 85%

Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

League Two · England Bradford or draw 85%

Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 62%

League Two · England Walsall or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 60%

Championship · England Preston or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Championship · England Hull City or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 54%

League One · England Wigan or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 66%

League One · England Reading or draw 81%

League One · England Lincoln or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

#10

Championship · England Burnley or draw 80%

Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 70% Burnley Clean Sheet 55%

#11

League Two · England Port Vale or draw 79%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%

#12

League Two · England Colchester or draw 78%

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#13

League One · England Wycombe or draw 78%

✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 70% ✓ Wycombe Clean Sheet 53%

#14

League One · England Shrewsbury or draw 77%

#15

League Two · England AFC Wimbledon or draw 77%

✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%

#16

League Two · England Crewe or draw 76%

✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#17

League One · England Blackpool or draw 76%

Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 61%

#18

League One · England Charlton or draw 76%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Showing top 18 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Draw No Bet Home Banker Likely Draw

Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 4 March 2025?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Notts County vs Barrow (Notts County or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.