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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 11 February 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

13 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 11 February 2025. Walsall vs Gillingham (Walsall or draw) led the list at 86% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League One supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the double chance market — 92%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England Walsall or draw 86%
Walsall
1 : 1 FT
Gillingham
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 55%
#2 League One Β· England Charlton or draw 86%
Charlton
2 : 1 FT
Peterborough
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
BTTS No 54%
#3 Championship Β· England Portsmouth or draw 86%
Portsmouth
2 : 1 FT
Cardiff
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#4 League One Β· England Birmingham or draw 84%
Birmingham
4 : 0 FT
Cambridge United
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#5 Championship Β· England Norwich or draw 82%
Norwich
0 : 1 FT
Preston
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 62%
#6 League Two Β· England Bradford or draw 82%
Bradford
1 : 0 FT
Accrington ST
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
#7 League One Β· England Reading or draw 79%
Reading
1 : 1 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
#8 League One Β· England Blackpool or draw 79%
Blackpool
0 : 0 FT
Rotherham
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#9 League One Β· England Leyton Orient or draw 78%
Leyton Orient
3 : 0 FT
Mansfield Town
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#10 League Two Β· England Newport County or draw 78%
Newport County
1 : 0 FT
Carlisle
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Championship Β· England Derby or draw 77%
Derby
0 : 0 FT
Oxford United
Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#12 League Two Β· England AFC Wimbledon or draw 76%
AFC Wimbledon
3 : 0 FT
Crewe
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 36%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#13 Championship Β· England Leeds or draw 75%
Watford
0 : 4 FT
Leeds
Win 25%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Showing top 13 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 11 February 2025?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Walsall vs Gillingham (Walsall or draw) at 86% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.