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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 18 January 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 18 January 2025. Club Brugge KV vs Beerschot VA (Club Brugge KV or draw) sits top on 97% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 97% down to 81%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Club Brugge KV or draw 97%
Club Brugge KV
4 : 2 FT
Beerschot VA
βœ“ Win 86%
Draw 11%
Win 3%
✓ Over 2.5 77%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands GO Ahead Eagles or draw 91%
GO Ahead Eagles
2 : 1 FT
Groningen
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 70%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Gaziantep FK or draw 91%
Gaziantep FK
0 : 0 FT
Bodrum FK
Win 66%
Draw 25%
Win 9%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Gaziantep FK Clean Sheet 60%
#4 League Two Β· England AFC Wimbledon or draw 91%
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 0 FT
Tranmere
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#5 Premier League Β· England Arsenal or draw 88%
Arsenal
2 : 2 FT
Aston Villa
Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain Atletico Madrid or draw 88%
Leganes
1 : 0 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 12%
Draw 19%
Win 69%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#7 Ligue 1 Β· France Rennes or draw 88%
Rennes
1 : 2 FT
Stade Brestois 29
Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 87%
Bayer Leverkusen
3 : 1 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Championship Β· England West Brom or draw 85%
West Brom
1 : 1 FT
Stoke City
Win 54%
Draw 31%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 66% West Brom Clean Sheet 56%
#10 League Two Β· England Salford City or draw 84%
Salford City
0 : 2 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
#11 Serie B Β· Italy Modena or draw 84%
Modena
1 : 1 FT
Frosinone
Win 51%
Draw 33%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%
#12 Ligue 2 Β· France Dunkerque or draw 84%
Dunkerque
0 : 1 FT
Lorient
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#13 Super League Β· Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 84%
BSC Young Boys
0 : 0 FT
FC Winterthur
Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 57%
#14 League One Β· England Bolton or draw 83%
Bolton
2 : 2 FT
Cambridge United
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#15 Bundesliga Β· Germany VfB Stuttgart or draw 83%
VfB Stuttgart
4 : 0 FT
SC Freiburg
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%
#16 Premier League Β· England Fulham or draw 83%
Leicester
0 : 2 FT
Fulham
Win 17%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 57%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%
#17 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München or draw 83%
Bayern München
3 : 2 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#18 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Başakşehir or draw 82%
Başakşehir
2 : 0 FT
Rizespor
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
#19 League One Β· England Birmingham or draw 81%
Birmingham
1 : 0 FT
Exeter City
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#20 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 81%
PEC Zwolle
3 : 1 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 19%
Draw 21%
Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 18 January 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Club Brugge KV vs Beerschot VA (Club Brugge KV or draw) at 97% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.