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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 29 September 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 29 September 2024. Antwerp vs Beerschot VA (Antwerp or draw) led the list at 94% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 83%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Antwerp or draw 94%
Antwerp
4 : 0 FT
Beerschot VA
βœ“ Win 80%
Draw 14%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 71%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Twente or draw 93%
Twente
1 : 0 FT
NAC Breda
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 20%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France Nantes or draw 92%
Nantes
2 : 2 FT
Saint Etienne
Win 72%
Draw 20%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#4 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Baník Ostrava or draw 91%
Baník Ostrava
2 : 1 FT
České Budějovice
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 59% Baník Ostrava Clean Sheet 54%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy AS Roma or draw 91%
AS Roma
2 : 1 FT
Venezia
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 25%
Win 9%
#6 Super League Β· China Chengdu Better City or draw 91%
Chengdu Better City
2 : 0 FT
Meizhou Kejia
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 12%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 63%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway Bodo/Glimt or draw 90%
Bodo/Glimt
4 : 0 FT
Kristiansund BK
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#8 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Malmo FF or draw 90%
Malmo FF
2 : 0 FT
Mjallby AIF
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Malmo FF Clean Sheet 53%
#9 Serie A Β· Brazil Fortaleza EC or draw 89%
Fortaleza EC
1 : 0 FT
Cuiaba
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 57%
#10 Premier League Β· Ukraine Dynamo Kyiv or draw 88%
Livyi Bereh
0 : 3 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 12%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 63%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Dynamo Kyiv Clean Sheet 56%
#11 Premier League Β· Ukraine Ruh Lviv or draw 87%
Ruh Lviv
0 : 0 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 57%
#12 Serie A Β· Brazil Bahia or draw 87%
Bahia
1 : 0 FT
Criciuma
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#13 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Lamphun Warrior or draw 87%
Lamphun Warrior
4 : 1 FT
Rayong FC
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#14 La Liga Β· Spain Real Betis or draw 86%
Real Betis
1 : 0 FT
Espanyol
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 28%
Win 14%
#15 Championship Β· England Swansea or draw 85%
Swansea
1 : 1 FT
Bristol City
Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 61%
#16 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands AZ Alkmaar or draw 85%
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 2 FT
Utrecht
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#17 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Plzen or draw 84%
Plzen
1 : 1 FT
Mlada Boleslav
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 58%
#18 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Uthai Thani or draw 84%
Uthai Thani
3 : 0 FT
Chiangrai United
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%
#19 Bundesliga Β· Germany Eintracht Frankfurt or draw 84%
Holstein Kiel
2 : 4 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 16%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#20 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Famalicao or draw 83%
Famalicao
0 : 0 FT
Nacional
Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Famalicao Clean Sheet 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 29 September 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Antwerp vs Beerschot VA (Antwerp or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.