Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 27 September 2024
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 27 September 2024. Muangthong United vs Khon Kaen United (Muangthong United or draw) sits top on 91% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 79%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Muangthong United or draw
91%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam or draw
88%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP or draw
88%
Ligue 1 · France
Paris Saint Germain or draw
87%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr or draw
87%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Dortmund or draw
86%
Ligue 2 · France
Dunkerque or draw
86%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne or draw
86%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Bangkok United or draw
85%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw
84%
Serie A · Italy
AC Milan or draw
84%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Excelsior or draw
84%
Serie B · Italy
Cittadella or draw
83%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV or draw
83%
Premier League · Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw
82%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RWDM or draw
82%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heracles or draw
81%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers or draw
80%
Ligue 2 · France
Lorient or draw
80%
Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble or draw
79%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 27 September 2024?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Muangthong United vs Khon Kaen United (Muangthong United or draw) at 91% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.