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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 28 May 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Four fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 28 May 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg (Malmo FF or draw) at 94% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Of the four fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Malmo FF or draw 94%
Malmo FF
2 : 1 FT
IF Elfsborg
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 13%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS No 59% Malmo FF Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Superettan Β· Sweden Degerfors IF or draw 85%
Degerfors IF
1 : 1 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#3 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SSV Jahn Regensburg or draw 75%
SV Wehen
1 : 2 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Win 25%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Austria TSV Hartberg or draw 75%
TSV Hartberg
0 : 1 FT
Austria Vienna
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 58%

Showing top 4 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 28 May 2024?

four fixtures met the criteria, led by Malmo FF vs IF Elfsborg (Malmo FF or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.