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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 8 March 2024

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 8 March 2024. Galatasaray vs Rizespor (Galatasaray or draw) sits top on 96% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Süper Lig · Turkey Galatasaray or draw 96%

✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS No 58% Galatasaray Clean Sheet 56%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 89%

Bundesliga · Germany VfB Stuttgart or draw 89%

Eredivisie · Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 87%

Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 61%

Challenger Pro League · Belgium Beerschot VA or draw 85%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Dordrecht or draw 84%

Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%

La Liga · Spain Barcelona or draw 83%

Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 59%

Ligue 1 · France Nice or draw 83%

Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 56%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Ittihad FC or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

#10

2. Bundesliga · Germany Eintracht Braunschweig or draw 82%

Eintracht Braunschweig

✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#11

Premier League · Russia FC Rostov or draw 81%

#12

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands VVV Venlo or draw 81%

Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 65%

#13

Premier League · Russia Krylia Sovetov or draw 80%

Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%

#14

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Groningen or draw 78%

✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%

#15

Ekstraklasa · Poland Piast Gliwice or draw 77%

#16

Super League · China Shanghai Shenhua or draw 77%

#17

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Roda or draw 76%

✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#18

Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto or draw 76%

Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%

#19

Thai League 1 · Thailand Prachuap or draw 76%

Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%

#20

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium KV Mechelen or draw 75%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 8 March 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Galatasaray vs Rizespor (Galatasaray or draw) at 96% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.