Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 30 December 2023
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
Ten matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 30 December 2023. Manchester City vs Sheffield Utd (Manchester City or draw) led the list at 94% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 79%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Serie A supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Premier League · England
Manchester City or draw
94%
Premier League · England
Aston Villa or draw
86%
Serie A · Italy
AC Milan or draw
85%
Serie A · Italy
Juventus or draw
81%
Serie A · Italy
Atalanta or draw
81%
Serie A · Italy
Hellas Verona or draw
80%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
GIL Vicente or draw
79%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estoril or draw
79%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab or draw
79%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh or draw
79%
Showing top 10 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Predictions by country
UK Football Predictions
Spanish Football Predictions
Italian Football Predictions
German Football Predictions
French Football Predictions
Dutch Football Predictions
Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 30 December 2023?
ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Manchester City vs Sheffield Utd (Manchester City or draw) at 94% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.