Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Thursday 21 September 2023
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
Eight matches cleared our threshold on Thursday 21 September 2023. Al-Ettifaq vs Al Taee (Al-Ettifaq or draw) led the list at 81% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 81% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Serie A supplies four of the top 8, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq or draw
81%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw
80%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Valour or draw
80%
Serie A · Brazil
Atletico Paranaense or draw
80%
Serie A · Brazil
Sao Paulo or draw
79%
Serie A · Brazil
Fluminense or draw
79%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon or draw
78%
Serie A · Brazil
Vasco DA Gama or draw
76%
Showing top 8 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Thursday 21 September 2023?
eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Ettifaq vs Al Taee (Al-Ettifaq or draw) at 81% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.