Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 1 September 2023
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
15 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 1 September 2023. Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Heidenheim (Borussia Dortmund or draw) led the list at 92% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.
Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 73%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Dortmund or draw
92%
Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United or draw
86%
Super League 1 · Greece
Kifisia or draw
85%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük or draw
83%
Primera División · Chile
Union Espanola or draw
83%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS or draw
83%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Dender or draw
80%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV or draw
80%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam or draw
77%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Kasımpaşa or draw
76%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers or draw
76%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
KRC Genk II or draw
76%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
OH Leuven or draw
76%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Daegu FC or draw
75%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Den Bosch or draw
75%
Showing top 15 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Dutch Football Predictions
Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 1 September 2023?
15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FC Heidenheim (Borussia Dortmund or draw) at 92% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.